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One in seven Welsh properties at flood risk: NRW sets out how to prepare

NRW’s 12 October campaign asks households to check their risk and sign up for warnings. The autumn outlook describes broad weather trends, not where or when a flood will strike.

Louise Pryce ·

River Teifi and Cardigan Bridge, 11 June 2021. Archive location context, not flooding today. Michael Garlick / Geograph and Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 2.0; cropped.

River Teifi and Cardigan Bridge, 11 June 2021. Archive location context, not flooding today. Michael Garlick / Geograph and Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 2.0; cropped.

Original photographCC BY-SA 2.0

One in seven homes and businesses in Wales is at risk of flooding, Natural Resources Wales says as it launches its annual Be Flood Ready campaign. The campaign runs from 12 to 16 October and urges people to prepare after a summer of drought and wildfires. NRW asks residents to check their risk by postcode, sign up for its free warning service and know what they would do if flooding were forecast. Its message is about preparation before severe weather arrives.

At a glance

4 figures

Wales-wide estimate
1 in 7 homes and businesses at risk
Campaign dates
12–16 October 2026
Warning signup
Free
Cardigan proposal
Around 90 properties

Source: Natural Resources Wales, 12 October 2026

A seasonal outlook is not an imminent flood warning

The release includes a Met Office outlook indicating a greater likelihood of wetter, windier and milder conditions than average in autumn and early winter. It also says dry and settled periods will still occur. A long-range outlook cannot specify the timing, location or severity of an individual storm. This announcement should not be read as a warning that every part of Wales is about to flood. Live warnings and local forecasts are separate checks.

Three checks to make now

Start with NRW’s postcode risk checker, then use its flood-warning signup service if your property is covered. Read its guidance on preparing a flood plan and what to do when flooding is forecast. The official links are provided below. The one-in-seven estimate includes homes and businesses across Wales. It is not the probability that any individual property will flood this winter, and a property that has not flooded before is not necessarily outside a risk area.

Defences reduce risk rather than remove it

NRW says flood defences cannot be built everywhere and cannot eliminate risk completely. It gives proposed tidal defences at Cardigan as an example: the scheme aims to reduce risk to around 90 properties, with a new wall, improvements along The Strand and intertidal habitat. Those are proposals, not a completed protection scheme. NRW also supports community flood plans, allowing residents to identify local risks and agree practical actions before an emergency.

Background and supporting figures

Where this sits

2 checked facts

  1. How does it compare?

    • The one-in-seven figure describes properties at risk, not a forecast of this winter’s actual floods.

      naturalresources.wales

    • A seasonal Met Office outlook describes broad trends; NRW separately provides local live warnings and a postcode risk service.

      naturalresources.wales

Every line above was checked against the source named beside it before this piece was published.

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