The four Welsh forces record every crime and, in most cases, how it ended. This is 102,065 crimes recorded within one mile of the centre of 30 towns between August 2025 to July 2026, set against the outcome the force logged for each one.
85% of bicycle theft cases that reached a conclusion ended with no suspect identified.
The Home Office publishes a rolling window and drops what falls off the back of it. Cover keeps every month it has served: 73 months so far, back to July 2020, across 180 captures. The tables below show the most recent 12.
Every category, and how it ends
Cases still under investigation are left out of the rate. They are not a result, and counting them would flatter the recent months, which have the most cases still open.
Category
Recorded
Concluded
No suspect identified
Violence and sexual offences
36,389
25,971
17%
Anti-social behaviour
15,737
not recorded
n/a
Shoplifting
11,967
10,100
45%
Public order
10,039
7,509
32%
Criminal damage and arson
7,845
6,318
60%
Other theft
5,068
4,029
67%
Vehicle crime
3,595
2,885
82%
Drugs
3,315
2,372
6%
Burglary
2,700
1,906
64%
Other crime
1,954
1,437
21%
Possession of weapons
1,013
748
7%
Bicycle theft
911
769
85%
Robbery
908
632
39%
Theft from the person
624
482
72%
Anti-social behaviour carries no outcome in the source at all. It is not a recordable offence, so its blanks are not unsolved cases and are not counted as any.
Six years, and what has not changed
The archive holds every crime recorded in Wales from July 2020 to June 2026, 1,838,544 of them. Set out by year, the striking thing about how cases end is how little it moves. Bicycle theft has finished with nobody identified in between 83 and 89 per cent of concluded cases in every whole year on record.
Share of concluded cases ending with no suspect identified, Wales, by year. 2020 and 2026 are part years: the archive runs July to June.The numbers behind this chart
Category
2020*
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026*
Bicycle theft
85%
87%
87%
89%
86%
83%
85%
Burglary
73%
72%
68%
68%
68%
67%
70%
Criminal damage and arson
62%
61%
60%
64%
59%
57%
61%
Shoplifting
54%
57%
56%
59%
51%
48%
50%
Violence and sexual offences
10%
11%
11%
14%
14%
13%
14%
* part year
What gets recorded, month by month
Every month in the archive, one panel per category. Each panel is scaled to its own peak, so what is being compared is the shape rather than the height. Shoplifting is the outlier: up 76 per cent between 2021 and 2025, the first and last whole years on record.
Violence and sexual offences
689,751 over 72 months, peak month 11,199
Shoplifting
116,312 over 72 months, peak month 2,258
Criminal damage and arson
144,966 over 72 months, peak month 2,490
Vehicle crime
63,837 over 72 months, peak month 1,162
Burglary
53,789 over 72 months, peak month 1,010
Bicycle theft
13,037 over 72 months, peak month 294
Recorded crime by month, Wales, July 2020 to June 2026.
Every council in Wales
The twelve months to June 2026, for all 22 local authorities. This is the whole council area, not a circle around a town centre, so these figures are not the ones in the table above.
Council
Recorded
Concluded
No suspect identified
Cardiff
41,160
30,255
46%
Newport
22,378
14,229
38%
Swansea
21,341
15,207
34%
Rhondda Cynon Taf
20,455
14,386
28%
Caerphilly
18,514
11,891
33%
Carmarthenshire
16,176
11,633
28%
Wrexham
13,844
8,981
31%
Bridgend
12,141
8,149
27%
Conwy
12,131
7,626
26%
Flintshire
11,933
7,708
28%
Torfaen
11,650
7,538
34%
Neath Port Talbot
11,366
7,856
29%
Pembrokeshire
11,282
7,815
25%
Denbighshire
10,948
7,439
28%
Gwynedd
10,469
6,488
27%
Blaenau Gwent
9,778
6,043
36%
Vale of Glamorgan
9,706
7,159
34%
Powys
9,388
6,813
24%
Monmouthshire
7,504
4,861
37%
Merthyr Tydfil
6,314
4,534
31%
Ceredigion
5,005
3,778
22%
Isle of Anglesey
4,869
2,979
22%
Town by town
One mile around each town centre, the same distance everywhere, so the rows can be read against each other.
